Adam Richardson

Mary Jo Vergara

Zoe Wallis

Interest Rates on the Move

CFA Society New Zealand

In this webinar, we’ll explore how economists navigate uncertainty, sift through market noise, and shape their forecasts.

After peaking at 5.5%, the Official Cash Rate (OCR) has now been cut to 3.00%—and markets are pricing in more to come. But is that enough to bring inflation under control and steer the economy back to “normal”? What does a rising or falling OCR really mean for households, businesses, and investors? And what might influence where rates go from here? Predicting interest rate moves is no easy task—especially when working with delayed and incomplete data. In this webinar, we’ll explore how economists navigate uncertainty, sift through market noise, and shape their forecasts. We’ll also dig into what it takes to hold a non-consensus view, how to handle getting it wrong, and what our panel are watching most closely in the year ahead. Please note: RBNZ Financial Markets director Adam Richardson’s remarks will be based on the upcoming 8 October Monetary Policy Review and the 20 August <a href="https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2025/08/ocr-lowered-to-3-percent" title="https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2025/08/ocr-lowered-to-3-percent" target="_blank" data-msys-clicktrack="0" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer">Monetary Policy Statement</a>. There is no new information. Mr Richardson will not be commenting on any new data released since the 8 October MPR. PL credits: This event qualifies for 1 PL credit hour under the guidelines of the CFA Institute Professional Learning program. Members can track this credit in your PL diary within your CFA Institute account.

Interest Rates on the Move

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Interest Rates on the Move

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